PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Villarreal 4–2 Osasuna · La Liga

4–2Historical match

Osasuna

DDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 4–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.191.26
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Osasuna 4–2. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Osasuna): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.19–1.26, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Osasuna10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealOsasunaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.76 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.76 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsVillarreal 15 shots, Osasuna 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVillarreal 5 shots, Osasuna 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.19 xG1.26 xGVillarreal 2.19 xG, Osasuna 1.26 xG
  • Possession44%56%Villarreal 44%, Osasuna 56%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersVillarreal 2 corners, Osasuna 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsVillarreal 10 fouls, Osasuna 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aimar Oroz · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThierno Barry · Villarreal · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 19′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEnzo Boyomo · Osasuna · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Boyomo · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 46′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Villarreal · 43′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 66′ · 0.12 xG · goalNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 77′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 39′ · 0.17 xG · goalThierno Barry · Villarreal · 33′ · 0.23 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 2′ · 0.30 xG · goalAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 87′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.56 xG · goalAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 81′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.24 xG. Osasuna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 2′Thierno Barry · Villarreal · 33′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 39′Nicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 71′Rubén García · Osasuna · 66′Aimar Oroz · Osasuna · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.24 xG · Osasuna 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Villarreal
2Draws
0Osasuna
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga2–2
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–1
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga3–1
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga0–3
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal34 matchesOsasuna34 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.24 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.47 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.16 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots34/3410.5 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.41 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession34/3446.2%
5.03 corners/match ●Corners34/344.35 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealOsasuna
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headVillarreal — Osasuna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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