PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 11 May 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Osasuna

DWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisOsasuna
Shots10 shots/match16 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.39 xG/match2.23 xG/match▲
Possession58%●42%
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match●
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRubén García · Osasuna · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovani Lo Celso · Real Betis · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Ibáñez · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 64′ · 0.08 xG · goalCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 14′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLucas Torró · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 24′ · 0.23 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 51′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.31 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 75′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.44 xG. Osasuna: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 64′Ante Budimir · Osasuna · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 0.44 xG · Osasuna 2.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.51 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.51 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match▲ShotsReal Betis · Osasuna10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisOsasunaBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Real Betis
0Draws
1Osasuna
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga1–2
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga0–2
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga2–1
Osasuna — Real Betis · La Liga3–2
Real Betis — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 0 · 3 too close

1.51 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/351.23 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 35/351.46 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/351.19 xG/match
1.27 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/351.43 xG/match
14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3510.7 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3512.2 shots/match
4.97 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/353.46 shots/match
3.57 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/355 shots/match
52.7%●Possessionseason · 35/3546.1%
5.23 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/354.43 corners/match
4.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 35/354.94 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3513.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/3520%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3577%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis72.5
Osasuna27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis80.8
Osasuna44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis65
Osasuna23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis82.5
Osasuna52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis22.5
Osasuna82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis80
Osasuna37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis68.1
Osasuna48.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis35 matchesOsasuna35 matches
1.51 goals/match▲Goals scored35/351.23 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed35/351.46 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals35/351.19 xG/match
14.1 shots/match▲Shots35/3510.7 shots/match
4.97 shots/match▲Shots on target35/353.46 shots/match
52.7%●Possession35/3546.1%
5.23 corners/match●Corners35/354.43 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.4 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis18 matchesOsasuna18 matches
1.72 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.78 goals/match
1.11 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.56 goals/match
1.78 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.98 xG/match
16.1 shots/match▲Shots18/189.17 shots/match
5.39 shots/match▲Shots on target18/182.56 shots/match
55.9%●Possession18/1844.1%
5.56 corners/match●Corners18/184.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal BetisOsasuna
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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