PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Las Palmas 0–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 0–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.681.24
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Las Palmas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Rayo Vallecano): shots 11–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.68–1.24, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas have a visible home split

moderate

Las Palmas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLas Palmas · Rayo Vallecano13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsLas Palmas 11 shots, Rayo Vallecano 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsLas Palmas 2 shots, Rayo Vallecano 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.24 xGLas Palmas 0.68 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.24 xG
  • Possession41%59%Las Palmas 41%, Rayo Vallecano 59%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersLas Palmas 8 corners, Rayo Vallecano 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsLas Palmas 8 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Unai López · Rayo Vallecano · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Valentín · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJuanma Herzog · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 5′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 28′ · 0.15 xG · on targetOli McBurnie · Las Palmas · 77′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.19 xG · on targetÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 66′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.69 xG · Rayo Vallecano 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Las Palmas
0Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Las Palmas · La Liga1–3
Rayo Vallecano — Las Palmas · La Liga0–2
Las Palmas — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas35 matchesRayo Vallecano35 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.06 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.19 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.74 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.29 shots/match
50.1%Possession35/35● 51.9%
4.09 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.11 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLas PalmasRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headLas Palmas — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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