PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Tue, 13 May 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

LDLDL
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaLas Palmas
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.07 xG/match▲0.45 xG/match
Possession46%54%●
Corners4 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls22 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Sandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlex Suárez · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDário Essugo · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJosé Campaña · Las Palmas · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan Bajčetić · Las Palmas · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosé Ángel Carmona · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSuso · Sevilla · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlvaro Garcia-Pascual · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.11 xG · goalDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdnan Januzaj · Las Palmas · 14′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLeandro Antonetti · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAlbert Sambi Lokonga · Sevilla · 32′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 33′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.34 xG. Las Palmas: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alvaro Garcia-Pascual · Sevilla · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.34 xG · Las Palmas 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sevilla.

3.22 days▲Rest daysSevilla · Las Palmas4.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSevillaLas PalmasBaseline
Rest days3.22 days4.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Las Palmas have a visible away split

moderate

Las Palmas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.44 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.44 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Sevilla
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las Palmas — Sevilla · La Liga2–2
Las Palmas — Sevilla · La Liga0–2
Sevilla — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/361.11 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/361.61 goals/match
1.12 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 36/360.98 xG/match
1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 36/361.81 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 36/3610.9 shots/match
10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 36/3614.4 shots/match
4.11 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/363.72 shots/match
3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/364.89 shots/match
51%●Possessionseason · 36/3650.2%
4.97 corners/match●Cornersseason · 36/364.03 corners/match
4.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/365.36 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3611.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
28%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3611%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla57.5
Las Palmas52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla56.7
Las Palmas46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla54.2
Las Palmas14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla62.5
Las Palmas32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla62.5
Las Palmas32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla57.5
Las Palmas27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla61.2
Las Palmas38.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla36 matchesLas Palmas36 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.11 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/361.61 goals/match
1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals36/360.98 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots36/3610.9 shots/match
4.11 shots/match▲Shots on target36/363.72 shots/match
51%●Possession36/3650.2%
4.97 corners/match●Corners36/364.03 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla18 matchesLas Palmas18 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.06 goals/match
1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.67 goals/match
1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.79 xG/match
13.9 shots/match▲Shots18/188.44 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.33 shots/match
53.8%●Possession18/1847.9%
5.44 corners/match●Corners18/183.06 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.22 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.02 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 May 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaLas Palmas
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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