PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Real Sociedad 0–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 0–1.

Shots
156
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.731.1
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Celta Vigo): shots 15–6, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.73–1.1, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Sociedad, Celta Vigo.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Celta Vigo3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal SociedadCelta VigoBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Sociedad have a visible home split

moderate

Real Sociedad's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsReal Sociedad 15 shots, Celta Vigo 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsReal Sociedad 5 shots, Celta Vigo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.1 xGReal Sociedad 1.73 xG, Celta Vigo 1.1 xG
  • Possession61%39%Real Sociedad 61%, Celta Vigo 39%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerReal Sociedad 14 corners, Celta Vigo 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsReal Sociedad 18 fouls, Celta Vigo 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marín · Real Sociedad · 59′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFer López · Celta Vigo · 56′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetArkaitz Mariezkurrena · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.28 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 83′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 81′ · 0.42 xG · on targetAlfon González · Celta Vigo · 44′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.79 xG. Celta Vigo: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alfon González · Celta Vigo · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.79 xG · Celta Vigo 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Sociedad
2Draws
1Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–1
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad36 matchesCelta Vigo36 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.5 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.42 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 11.4 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.61 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession36/3653.2%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners36/363.72 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 May 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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