La Liga · 2024

Celta Vigo 3–2 Sevilla · La Liga

3–2Historical match

Sevilla

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 3–2.

Shots
819
Shots on target
410
Expected goals
0.712.31
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 3–2. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Sevilla): shots 8–19, shots on target 4–10, expected goals 0.71–2.31, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots19 shotsCelta Vigo 8 shots, Sevilla 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots10 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Sevilla 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG2.31 xGCelta Vigo 0.71 xG, Sevilla 2.31 xG
  • Possession50%50%Celta Vigo 50%, Sevilla 50%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersCelta Vigo 3 corners, Sevilla 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsCelta Vigo 11 fouls, Sevilla 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPeque Fernández · Sevilla · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliot Swedberg · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSuso · Sevilla · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlvaro Garcia-Pascual · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSaúl Ñíguez · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 18′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAdrià Pedrosa · Sevilla · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRamón Martínez · Sevilla · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRamón Martínez · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.17 xG · goalIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 19′ · 0.20 xG · goalNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.34 xG · goalKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.47 xG · goalNemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.91 xG. Sevilla: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ilaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 19′Óscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 65′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 90′Nemanja Gudelj · Sevilla · 45′Kike Salas · Sevilla · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.91 xG · Sevilla 2.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
3Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo35 matchesSevilla35 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.11 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.12 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 12.6 shots/match
4.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/354.14 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession35/3551.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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