PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sat, 10 May 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

Getafe

WLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaGetafe
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals2.72 xG/match▲0.53 xG/match
Possession59%●41%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match●
Fouls17 fouls/match20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Coba Da Costa · Getafe · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJuan Bernat · Getafe · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 18′ · 0.03 xG · goalJavier Guerra · Valencia · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPeter González · Getafe · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCoba Da Costa · Getafe · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Milla · Getafe · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOmar Alderete · Getafe · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetÁlvaro Rodriguez · Getafe · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Gayà · Valencia · 40′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRamón Terrats · Getafe · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIván Jaime · Valencia · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPeter González · Getafe · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 55′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAndré Almeida · Valencia · 33′ · 0.44 xG · on targetPepelu · Valencia · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Valencia: 10 shots, 6 on target, 2.80 xG. Getafe: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Pepelu · Valencia · 8′Diego López · Valencia · 18′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Valencia 2.80 xG · Getafe 0.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Valencia
1Draws
2Getafe
Getafe — Valencia · La Liga1–1
Valencia — Getafe · La Liga1–0
Getafe — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Getafe — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Getafe · La Liga5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 7 · 3 too close

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 35/350.89 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/35▲0.97 goals/match
1.18 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/350.99 xG/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/35▲1.24 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/35▲11.7 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/35▲9.71 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/353.51 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/35▲3.34 shots/match
47.7%●Possessionseason · 35/3542.1%
5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/353.97 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/35▲3.8 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3516.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/35▲26%
77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 35/3557%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5
Getafe12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia34.2
Getafe34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia45.8
Getafe82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia27.5
Getafe92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia27.5
Getafe92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia55
Getafe27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia31.9
Getafe53.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Valencia35 matchesGetafe35 matches
1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored35/350.89 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲0.97 goals/match
1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals35/350.99 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots35/35▲11.7 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target35/353.51 shots/match
47.7%●Possession35/3542.1%
5 corners/match●Corners35/353.97 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.7 fouls/matchFouls35/3516.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Valencia18 matchesGetafe18 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored18/180.94 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.06 goals/match
1.34 xG/match▲Expected goals18/180.83 xG/match
11.7 shots/match▲Shots18/1810.8 shots/match
4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.28 shots/match
49.6%●Possession18/1837.5%
5.89 corners/match●Corners18/184.11 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaGetafe
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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