Premier League · 2023Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

DWD

2–2Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Bournemouth
Shots	21 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.91 xG/match▲	2.09 xG/match
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brentford: 21 shots, 7 on target, 2.89 xG. Bournemouth: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 2.89 xG · Bournemouth 2.12 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsBrentford · Bournemouth12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brentford	Bournemouth	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	15.1 shots/match
Shots against	13.8 shots/match	20 shots/match	15.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Brentford

1Draws

0Bournemouth

14 Jan 2023Brentford — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0

1 Oct 2022Bournemouth — Brentford · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42 goals/match

2.51 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.36 xG/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.28 xG/match

15.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/412.5 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/420 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.5 shots/match

49%●Possessionseason · 4/445%

5.25 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/45 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/413.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford47.5

Bournemouth27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford60

Bournemouth32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford65

Bournemouth17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford57.5

Bournemouth32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford25

Bournemouth87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford47.5

Bournemouth42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford45.6

Bournemouth49.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford4 matchesBournemouth4 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match

2.51 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.36 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots4/412.5 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match

49%●Possession4/445%

5.25 corners/match●Corners4/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford3 matchesBournemouth2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

2.03 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

14.7 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.67 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

50.3%Possession3/2—

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4