Premier League · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

WLD

3–2Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

LLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Wolverhampton
Shots	16 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.11 xG/match▲	1.18 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 16 shots, 10 on target, 2.15 xG. Wolverhampton: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 2.15 xG · Wolverhampton 1.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsCrystal Palace · Wolverhampton12.5 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Crystal Palace	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Fouls	13 fouls/match	12.5 fouls/match	11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Crystal Palace

0Draws

1Wolverhampton

25 Apr 2023Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–0

18 Oct 2022Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1

5 Mar 2022Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2

6 Nov 2021Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.69 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.97 xG/match

17.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/415.5 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/415.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.25 shots/match

2.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/47.25 shots/match

49.5%Possessionseason · 4/4●51.3%

4 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace55

Wolverhampton67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace70.8

Wolverhampton35.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace82.5

Wolverhampton26.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace92.5

Wolverhampton52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace87.5

Wolverhampton77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace17.5

Wolverhampton10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace68.8

Wolverhampton43.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace4 matchesWolverhampton4 matches

1.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.69 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots4/415.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match

49.5%Possession4/4●51.3%

4 corners/match●Corners4/43.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace2 matchesWolverhampton3 matches

—Goals scored2/31 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31.33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.54 xG/match

—Shots2/315.3 shots/match

—Shots on target2/34 shots/match

—Possession2/353%

—Corners2/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/312 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4