Premier League · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

DWW

3–0Full-time recap

Aston Villa

LWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Aston Villa
Shots	17 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.47 xG/match▲	0.66 xG/match
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	7 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool

1Draws

0Aston Villa

20 May 2023Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1

26 Dec 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

10 May 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

11 Dec 2021Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 0 · 13 too close

2.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.03 xG/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.81 xG/match

16.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.5 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

51%●Possessionseason · 4/446.5%

7.5 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/45.25 corners/match

3.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/45.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool62.5

Aston Villa42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool64.2

Aston Villa55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool66.7

Aston Villa40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool72.5

Aston Villa42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool55

Aston Villa45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Aston Villa50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool63.8

Aston Villa48.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool4 matchesAston Villa4 matches

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

1.93 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲2.03 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots4/413.5 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

51%●Possession4/446.5%

7.5 corners/match●Corners4/45.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool2 matchesAston Villa3 matches

—Goals scored2/31.33 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/33 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.71 xG/match

—Shots2/313.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/35 shots/match

—Possession2/342%

—Corners2/34.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4