PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Brentford 1–3 Everton · Premier League

1–3Historical match

Everton

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 1–3.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.031.9
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Brentford 3–1. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Everton): shots 12–18, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.03–1.9, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsBrentford 12 shots, Everton 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsBrentford 2 shots, Everton 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG1.9 xGBrentford 1.03 xG, Everton 1.9 xG
  • Possession57%43%Brentford 57%, Everton 43%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersBrentford 1 corner, Everton 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsBrentford 9 fouls, Everton 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amadou Onana · Everton · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 51′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJames Garner · Everton · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitaly Janelt · Brentford · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Hickey · Brentford · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBeto · Everton · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Hickey · Brentford · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 6′ · 0.06 xG · goalAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 28′ · 0.07 xG · goalJames Tarkowski · Everton · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 80′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBeto · Everton · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Everton · 57′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 21′ · 0.15 xG · on targetKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 41′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 69′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 67′ · 0.23 xG · goalBeto · Everton · 36′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 71′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG. Everton: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mathias Jensen · Brentford · 28′Abdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 6′James Tarkowski · Everton · 67′Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.03 xG · Everton 1.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brentford
1Draws
1Everton
Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–1
Everton — Brentford · Premier League2–3
Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford6 matchesEverton6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.59 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/614.2 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession6/642%
4.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.67 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrentfordEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBrentford — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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