PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 1–0 Brentford · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.440.5
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Brentford 1–0. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Brentford): shots 9–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.44–0.5, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

weak

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsNewcastle United 9 shots, Brentford 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsNewcastle United 2 shots, Brentford 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG0.5 xGNewcastle United 1.44 xG, Brentford 0.5 xG
  • Possession56%44%Newcastle United 56%, Brentford 44%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersNewcastle United 8 corners, Brentford 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsNewcastle United 8 fouls, Brentford 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Harvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Hickey · Brentford · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSven Botman · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.29 xG · on targetCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.50 xG. Brentford: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Callum Wilson · Newcastle United · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.50 xG · Brentford 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Newcastle United
1Draws
0Brentford
Brentford — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2
Newcastle United — Brentford · Premier League5–1
Brentford — Newcastle United · Premier League0–2
Newcastle United — Brentford · Premier League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United5 matchesBrentford5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.11 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession5/548%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.8 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Brentford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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