PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

West Ham United 1–3 Manchester City · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–3.

Shots
629
Shots on target
315
Expected goals
0.943.63
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat West Ham United 3–1. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Manchester City): shots 6–29, shots on target 3–15, expected goals 0.94–3.63, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Ham United · Manchester City19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Shots11 shots/match19.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match
Shots against20.2 shots/match6.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.2%PossessionWest Ham United · Manchester City● 68%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 32.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Possession35.2%68%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Manchester City have a visible away split

weak

Manchester City's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season19.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots25.3 shots/match19.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots29 shotsWest Ham United 6 shots, Manchester City 29 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots15 shotsWest Ham United 3 shots, Manchester City 15 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG3.63 xGWest Ham United 0.94 xG, Manchester City 3.63 xG
  • Possession32%68%West Ham United 32%, Manchester City 68%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersWest Ham United 4 corners, Manchester City 11 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsWest Ham United 7 fouls, Manchester City 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jérémy Doku · Manchester City · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRúben Dias · Manchester City · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKurt Zouma · West Ham United · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 46′ · 0.06 xG · goalJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 86′ · 0.07 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.15 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.36 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 53′ · 0.38 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 82′ · 0.38 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 36′ · 0.54 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 42′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.95 xG. Manchester City: 29 shots, 13 on target, 3.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′James Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 36′Jérémy Doku · Manchester City · 46′Bernardo Silva · Manchester City · 76′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.95 xG · Manchester City 3.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0West Ham United
1Draws
3Manchester City
Manchester City — West Ham United · Premier League3–0
West Ham United — Manchester City · Premier League0–2
West Ham United — Manchester City · Premier League2–2
Manchester City — West Ham United · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United5 matchesManchester City5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.52 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 19.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 8.2 shots/match
35.2%Possession5/5● 68%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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