PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester United 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 1–3.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.961.7
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Manchester United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 14–10, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.96–1.7, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.2 corners/match ●CornersManchester United · Brighton & Hove Albion6.4 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Corners7.2 corners/match6.4 corners/match5.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester United · Brighton & Hove Albion18.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match18.6 shots/match14.5 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match12 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

50%PossessionManchester United · Brighton & Hove Albion● 63%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession50%63%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsManchester United 14 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsManchester United 4 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.7 xGManchester United 0.96 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.7 xG
  • Possession44%56%Manchester United 44%, Brighton & Hove Albion 56%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerManchester United 8 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsManchester United 8 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tariq Lamptey · Brighton & Hove Albion · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHannibal Mejbri · Manchester United · 73′ · 0.03 xG · goalPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ferguson · Brighton & Hove Albion · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 71′ · 0.10 xG · goalAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 88′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 6′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 79′ · 0.14 xG · on targetVictor Lindelöf · Manchester United · 76′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 25′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.28 xG · goalAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.43 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 10 shots, 8 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hannibal Mejbri · Manchester United · 73′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′Pascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 0.97 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
0Draws
3Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Manchester United · Premier League4–0
Manchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United5 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.14 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 18.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 8.8 shots/match
50%Possession5/5● 63%
7.2 corners/match ●Corners5/56.4 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester United — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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