PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 1–4 Chelsea · Premier League

1–4Historical match

Chelsea

LWWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–4.

Shots
817
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
0.894.12
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Tottenham Hotspur 4–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Chelsea): shots 8–17, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 0.89–4.12, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chelsea's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chelsea's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsTottenham Hotspur 8 shots, Chelsea 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsTottenham Hotspur 5 shots, Chelsea 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG4.12 xGTottenham Hotspur 0.89 xG, Chelsea 4.12 xG
  • Possession39%61%Tottenham Hotspur 39%, Chelsea 61%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersTottenham Hotspur 1 corner, Chelsea 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls21 foulsTottenham Hotspur 12 fouls, Chelsea 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThiago Silva · Chelsea · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedReece James · Chelsea · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYves Bissouma · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMarc Cucurella · Chelsea · 68′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 11′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 56′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 86′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG. Chelsea: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.25 xG. · 5 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 0.83 xG · Chelsea 1.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tottenham Hotspur
1Draws
2Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur11 matchesChelsea11 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.06 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots11/1114.2 shots/match
6.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.73 shots/match
60.3%Possession11/11● 61.9%
5.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.45 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurChelsea
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Chelsea
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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