PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Luton Town 1–1 Liverpool · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Luton Town and Liverpool drew 1–1.

Shots
824
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
0.812.85
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Luton Town and Liverpool drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – Liverpool): shots 8–24, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 0.81–2.85, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLuton Town · Liverpool18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLuton TownLiverpoolBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Luton Town have a visible home split

moderate

Luton Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.5%PossessionLuton Town · Liverpool● 58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLuton TownLiverpoolBaseline
Possession35.5%58.9%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots24 shotsLuton Town 8 shots, Liverpool 24 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsLuton Town 5 shots, Liverpool 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG2.85 xGLuton Town 0.81 xG, Liverpool 2.85 xG
  • Possession26%74%Luton Town 26%, Liverpool 74%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersLuton Town 4 corners, Liverpool 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsLuton Town 7 fouls, Liverpool 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Kaboré · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChiedozie Ogbene · Luton Town · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIssa Kaboré · Luton Town · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoe Gomez · Liverpool · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 65′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 13′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 33′ · 0.27 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 70′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 70′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Luton Town: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.39 xG. Liverpool: 23 shots, 5 on target, 2.63 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 0.39 xG · Liverpool 2.63 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Luton Town favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Luton Town11 matchesLiverpool11 matches
0.91 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 2.18 goals/match
1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.29 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 18.2 shots/match
2.55 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.45 shots/match
35.5%Possession11/11● 58.9%
5.45 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.73 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLuton TownLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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