PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 1–0 Arsenal · Premier League

1–0Historical match

Arsenal

DWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 1–0.

Shots
914
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.040.57
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United beat Arsenal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Arsenal): shots 9–14, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.04–0.57, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsNewcastle United · Arsenal14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedArsenalBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match8.45 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsNewcastle United 9 shots, Arsenal 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotNewcastle United 2 shots, Arsenal 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.04 xG0.57 xGNewcastle United 1.04 xG, Arsenal 0.57 xG
  • Possession41%59%Newcastle United 41%, Arsenal 59%
  • Corners0 corners11 cornersNewcastle United 0 corners, Arsenal 11 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsNewcastle United 14 fouls, Arsenal 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Takehiro Tomiyasu · Arsenal · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEddie Nketiah · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 64′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.58 xG. Arsenal: 14 shots, 1 on target, 0.55 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 0.58 xG · Arsenal 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Newcastle United
1Draws
2Arsenal
Newcastle United — Arsenal · Premier League0–2
Arsenal — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Arsenal · Premier League2–0
Arsenal — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United11 matchesArsenal11 matches
2.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/112.09 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.77 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.4 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/115.27 shots/match
53.5%Possession11/11● 60.7%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/11● 8.45 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls11/119.82 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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