PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 6–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

6–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 6–1.

Shots
215
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.950.91
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Bournemouth 6–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Bournemouth): shots 21–5, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.95–0.91, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bournemouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Bournemouth10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBournemouthBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against6.64 shots/match17.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Manchester City have a visible home split

moderate

Manchester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.3% ●PossessionManchester City · Bournemouth41.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBournemouthBaseline
Possession63.3%41.9%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots5 shotsManchester City 21 shots, Bournemouth 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotManchester City 8 shots, Bournemouth 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.91 xGManchester City 1.95 xG, Bournemouth 0.91 xG
  • Possession65%35%Manchester City 65%, Bournemouth 35%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerManchester City 12 corners, Bournemouth 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsManchester City 8 fouls, Bournemouth 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 22′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.26 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 41′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.04 xG. Bournemouth: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.63 xG. · 7 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.04 xG · Bournemouth 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
0Draws
0Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Manchester City · Premier League1–4
Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City11 matchesBournemouth11 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112.45 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.05 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1110.8 shots/match
7.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.82 shots/match
63.3% ●Possession11/1141.9%
7 corners/match ●Corners11/114.73 corners/match
8.36 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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