PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Bournemouth 2–1 Burnley · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Burnley

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bournemouth won 2–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.110.83
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bournemouth beat Burnley 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bournemouth – Burnley): shots 13–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.11–0.83, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsBournemouth 13 shots, Burnley 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBournemouth 6 shots, Burnley 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.83 xGBournemouth 1.11 xG, Burnley 0.83 xG
  • Possession44%56%Bournemouth 44%, Burnley 56%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersBournemouth 10 corners, Burnley 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsBournemouth 9 fouls, Burnley 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charlie Taylor · Burnley · 11′ · 0.01 xG · goalMiloš Kerkez · Bournemouth · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCharlie Taylor · Burnley · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalSander Berge · Burnley · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnass Zaroury · Burnley · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 66′ · 0.08 xG · on targetChris Mepham · Bournemouth · 38′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 22′ · 0.10 xG · goalPhilip Billing · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLloyd Kelly · Bournemouth · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 5′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 21′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 90′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bournemouth: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.12 xG. Burnley: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 22′Philip Billing · Bournemouth · 76′Charlie Taylor · Burnley · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.12 xG · Burnley 0.80 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth10 matchesBurnley10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
2.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.5 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.86 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots10/109.7 shots/match
4.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.7 shots/match
42.6%Possession10/10● 49.5%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.6 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthBurnley
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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