Premier League · 2023

Brentford 3–0 Burnley · Premier League

3–0Historical match

Burnley

DLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 3–0.

Shots
236
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
3.241.14
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Burnley 3–0. Recorded in this match (Brentford – Burnley): shots 23–6, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 3.24–1.14, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBrentford · Burnley10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordBurnleyBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots6 shotsBrentford 23 shots, Burnley 6 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotBrentford 10 shots, Burnley 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.24 xG1.14 xGBrentford 3.24 xG, Burnley 1.14 xG
  • Possession50%50%Brentford 50%, Burnley 50%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersBrentford 5 corners, Burnley 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsBrentford 14 fouls, Burnley 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Burnley · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMike Trésor · Burnley · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 87′ · 0.04 xG · goalChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 62′ · 0.11 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 30′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 2′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 23′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 28′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Ajer · Brentford · 34′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 74′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 43′ · 0.25 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 41′ · 0.40 xG · on targetYoane Wissa · Brentford · 25′ · 0.75 xG · goalLuca Koleosho · Burnley · 75′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brentford: 23 shots, 9 on target, 3.32 xG. Burnley: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 25′Bryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 62′Saman Ghoddos · Brentford · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 3.32 xG · Burnley 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
0Draws
1Burnley
Brentford — Burnley · Premier League2–0
Burnley — Brentford · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford9 matchesBurnley9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.78 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.56 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.86 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/910.1 shots/match
4.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.67 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession9/948.8%
5.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.67 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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