PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Wolverhampton won 2–1.

Shots
176
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.150.7
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wolverhampton beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 17–6, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.15–0.7, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match16 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Tottenham Hotspur16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonTottenham HotspurBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match16 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionWolverhampton · Tottenham Hotspur● 60.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession47.8%60.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsWolverhampton 17 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsWolverhampton 4 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.7 xGWolverhampton 2.15 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 0.7 xG
  • Possession42%58%Wolverhampton 42%, Tottenham Hotspur 58%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersWolverhampton 11 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls15 foulsWolverhampton 19 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedToti Gomes · Wolverhampton · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedToti Gomes · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGiovani Lo Celso · Tottenham Hotspur · 88′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 88′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSaša Kalajdžić · Wolverhampton · 85′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 55′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.28 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′ · 0.35 xG · goalMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 17 shots, 4 on target, 2.15 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Pablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 90′Mario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 90′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 2.15 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Wolverhampton
0Draws
2Tottenham Hotspur
Wolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–2
Wolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton12 matchesTottenham Hotspur12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.61 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 16 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.75 shots/match
47.8%Possession12/12● 60.1%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.17 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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