PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLiverpoolBrentford
Shots17 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.71 xG/match▲1.68 xG/match
Possession58%●42%
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoël Matip · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMads Roerslev · Brentford · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKostas Tsimikas · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaman Ghoddos · Brentford · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · Brentford · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.07 xG · goalChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBen Mee · Brentford · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNathan Collins · Brentford · 79′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 61′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 78′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.14 xG · goalEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 5′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.15 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 61′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 39′ · 0.38 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 32′ · 0.46 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 17 shots, 10 on target, 1.68 xG. Brentford: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 39′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 62′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.68 xG · Brentford 1.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.5 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Brentford14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolBrentfordBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8%●PossessionLiverpool · Brentford47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolBrentfordBaseline
Possession58.8%47.8%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Liverpool
1Draws
1Brentford
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League3–1
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League3–0
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 4 too close

2.25 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.58 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 12/121.42 goals/match
2.24 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.91 xG/match
1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/121.38 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1214.6 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1213.4 shots/match
5.83 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/124.67 shots/match
3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 12/124.17 shots/match
58.8%●Possessionseason · 12/1247.8%
6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/124.92 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/125.25 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1211 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/1225%
100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1283%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool72.5
Brentford40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool88.3
Brentford57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool74.2
Brentford53.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool87.5
Brentford82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool80
Brentford42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool85
Brentford40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool86.2
Brentford50.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool12 matchesBrentford12 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.58 goals/match
0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.91 xG/match
18.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1214.6 shots/match
5.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.67 shots/match
58.8%●Possession12/1247.8%
6.67 corners/match●Corners12/124.92 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1211 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool6 matchesBrentford6 matches
2.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
2.62 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.81 xG/match
21.5 shots/match▲Shots6/613.3 shots/match
7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/64.33 shots/match
67%●Possession6/642.8%
8.33 corners/match●Corners6/65.5 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLiverpoolBrentford
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Liverpool vs Brentford — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath