PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

West Ham United 3–2 Nottingham Forest · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United won 3–2.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.81.69
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United beat Nottingham Forest 3–2. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Nottingham Forest): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.8–1.69, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsWest Ham United 16 shots, Nottingham Forest 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsWest Ham United 6 shots, Nottingham Forest 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.69 xGWest Ham United 1.8 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.69 xG
  • Possession54%46%West Ham United 54%, Nottingham Forest 46%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersWest Ham United 9 corners, Nottingham Forest 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsWest Ham United 9 fouls, Nottingham Forest 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edson Álvarez · West Ham United · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Domínguez · Nottingham Forest · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerge Aurier · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 88′ · 0.06 xG · goalEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDivock Origi · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 3′ · 0.10 xG · goalAnthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 63′ · 0.11 xG · goalMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTaiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 12′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 85′ · 0.22 xG · on targetTaiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 48′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 65′ · 0.26 xG · goalLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 14′ · 0.31 xG · on targetTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 70′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedTaiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 44′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.77 xG. Nottingham Forest: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 3′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 65′Tomáš Souček · West Ham United · 88′Taiwo Awoniyi · Nottingham Forest · 44′Anthony Elanga · Nottingham Forest · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.77 xG · Nottingham Forest 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Ham United
0Draws
1Nottingham Forest
West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0
Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United12 matchesNottingham Forest12 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.11 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.6 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.58 shots/match
41.7% ●Possession12/1238.8%
4.92 corners/match ●Corners12/123.5 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedNottingham Forest
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Nottingham Forest
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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