Premier League · 2023Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

West Ham United

WDLLL

3–2Historical match

Nottingham Forest

DDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Nottingham Forest
Shots	16 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.8 xG/match▲	1.69 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	9 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.77 xG. Nottingham Forest: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.77 xG · Nottingham Forest 1.73 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

0Draws

1Nottingham Forest

25 Feb 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0

14 Aug 2022Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 5 · 3 too close

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.17 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 12/121.11 xG/match

1.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲1.56 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1210.6 shots/match

16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲13.9 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/123.58 shots/match

5.58 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲4.67 shots/match

41.7%●Possessionseason · 12/1238.8%

4.92 corners/match●Cornersseason · 12/123.5 corners/match

7.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/127.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1210.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

8%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲25%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United22.5

Nottingham Forest12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United45

Nottingham Forest24.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United17.5

Nottingham Forest40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United77.5

Nottingham Forest57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United32.5

Nottingham Forest37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United40

Nottingham Forest5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United36.9

Nottingham Forest18.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United12 matchesNottingham Forest12 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲1.5 goals/match

1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.11 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1210.6 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target12/123.58 shots/match

41.7%●Possession12/1238.8%

4.92 corners/match●Corners12/123.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United6 matchesNottingham Forest7 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored6/70.86 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.86 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals6/71.05 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots6/79.57 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/73.29 shots/match

43.5%●Possession6/734.9%

5.17 corners/match●Corners6/73.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls6/712.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4