Premier League · 2023Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionSheffield United
Shots11 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.53 xG/match1.07 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners6 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match16 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Sheffield United8.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionSheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match8.75 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.8%PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Sheffield United38%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionSheffield UnitedBaseline
Possession61.8%38%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 3 too close

2.08 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/120.83 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/122.58 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/120.81 xG/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/122.22 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/128.75 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/1218.7 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/122.75 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/127.42 shots/match
61.8%Possessionseason · 12/1238%
5.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/123.5 corners/match
3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/127.08 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/120%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/1267%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion92.5
Sheffield United7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion74.2
Sheffield United7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion51.7
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion17.5
Sheffield United12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion70
Sheffield United87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion67.5
Sheffield United5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion71.9
Sheffield United25.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion12 matchesSheffield United12 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed12/122.58 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals12/120.81 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots12/128.75 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target12/122.75 shots/match
61.8%Possession12/1238%
5.42 corners/matchCorners12/123.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion7 matchesSheffield United6 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/60.67 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/62.5 goals/match
1.99 xG/matchExpected goals7/60.65 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots7/67.67 shots/match
6.86 shots/matchShots on target7/62.17 shots/match
63.6%Possession7/640%
7.57 corners/matchCorners7/63.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls7/611.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.96 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.96 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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