Premier League · 2023Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
32Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBrentfordWest Ham United
Shots16 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.63 xG/match1.82 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/matchShotsBrentford · West Ham United11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match17.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Brentford
0Draws
0West Ham United
BrentfordWest Ham United · Premier League20
West Ham UnitedBrentford · Premier League02
BrentfordWest Ham United · Premier League20
West Ham UnitedBrentford · Premier League12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 0 · 3 too close

1.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/111.64 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111.82 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/111.46 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/111.91 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/1111.7 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1117.3 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/114.18 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/115.64 shots/match
48.4%Possessionseason · 11/1140.5%
4.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/114.55 corners/match
5.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/117.64 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%
91%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1191%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford40
West Ham United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford61.7
West Ham United43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford61.7
West Ham United19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford82.5
West Ham United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford32.5
West Ham United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford32.5
West Ham United27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford46.9
West Ham United34.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford11 matchesWest Ham United11 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.64 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.46 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots11/1111.7 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target11/114.18 shots/match
48.4%Possession11/1140.5%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/114.55 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1111 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford6 matchesWest Ham United6 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.56 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots6/612.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
52.8%Possession6/639.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/64.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/613 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Brentford vs West Ham United — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath