PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City and Liverpool drew 1–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.360.56
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City and Liverpool drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Liverpool): shots 16–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.36–0.56, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.85 corners/match ●CornersManchester City · Liverpool6.62 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityLiverpoolBaseline
Corners6.85 corners/match6.62 corners/match5.04 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.54 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester City have a visible home split

moderate

Manchester City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsManchester City 16 shots, Liverpool 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsManchester City 5 shots, Liverpool 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.56 xGManchester City 1.36 xG, Liverpool 0.56 xG
  • Possession60%40%Manchester City 60%, Liverpool 40%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersManchester City 9 corners, Liverpool 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsManchester City 9 fouls, Liverpool 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Phil Foden · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 80′ · 0.03 xG · goalJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 79′ · 0.19 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.25 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 35′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.36 xG. Liverpool: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 27′Trent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.36 xG · Liverpool 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester City
2Draws
1Liverpool
Manchester City — Liverpool · Premier League4–1
Liverpool — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Liverpool — Manchester City · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City13 matchesLiverpool13 matches
2.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/132.15 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.85 goals/match
2.02 xG/matchExpected goals13/132.11 xG/match
16.5 shots/matchShots13/1317.3 shots/match
7.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/135.62 shots/match
62.4% ●Possession13/1357.4%
6.85 corners/match ●Corners13/136.62 corners/match
8.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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