Premier League · 2023Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Burnley

LLLLL

1–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

DLLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Burnley	West Ham United
Shots	11 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.26 xG/match▲	0.9 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Burnley's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

weak

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.77 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Burnley

2Draws

0West Ham United

17 Apr 2022West Ham United — Burnley · Premier League1–1

12 Dec 2021Burnley — West Ham United · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Burnley favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 8 · 3 too close

0.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.77 goals/match

2.46 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.77 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.44 xG/match

1.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/131.84 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲12 shots/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1316.2 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.23 shots/match

5.92 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲5.54 shots/match

50%●Possessionseason · 13/1342.2%

5.77 corners/match●Cornersseason · 13/134.92 corners/match

5.69 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/137.08 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲8%

62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Burnley52.5

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Burnley7.5

West Ham United40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Burnley13.3

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Burnley2.5

West Ham United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Burnley32.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Burnley72.5

West Ham United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Burnley31.2

West Ham United28.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Burnley13 matchesWest Ham United13 matches

0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.77 goals/match

2.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.77 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.44 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲12 shots/match

3.23 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.23 shots/match

50%●Possession13/1342.2%

5.77 corners/match●Corners13/134.92 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Burnley7 matchesWest Ham United7 matches

0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1.71 goals/match

2.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲2 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.47 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots7/712.1 shots/match

3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲3.71 shots/match

50.9%●Possession7/741.1%

7 corners/match●Corners7/74.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4