Premier League · 2023Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WDWWW

0–0Full-time recap

Manchester United

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Manchester United
Shots	34 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.38 xG/match▲	0.75 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	12 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 34 shots, 8 on target, 2.38 xG. Manchester United: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.38 xG · Manchester United 0.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.94 corners/match●CornersLiverpool · Manchester United6.71 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Manchester United	Baseline
Corners	6.94 corners/match	6.71 corners/match	5.15 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season18.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	23.6 shots/match	18.5 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Manchester United14.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	18.5 shots/match	14.6 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	11.7 shots/match	15.9 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool

0Draws

1Manchester United

5 Mar 2023Liverpool — Manchester United · Premier League7–0

22 Aug 2022Manchester United — Liverpool · Premier League2–1

19 Apr 2022Liverpool — Manchester United · Premier League4–0

24 Oct 2021Manchester United — Liverpool · Premier League0–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 0 · 3 too close

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 17/171.06 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 17/171.24 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 17/171.55 xG/match

1.22 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 17/171.73 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 17/1714.6 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 17/1715.9 shots/match

6.06 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 17/174.41 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 17/175.06 shots/match

60.4%●Possessionseason · 17/1752.2%

6.94 corners/match●Cornersseason · 17/176.71 corners/match

4.76 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 17/176.35 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1710.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1735%

94%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1765%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool82.5

Manchester United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool88.3

Manchester United45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool86.7

Manchester United41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool92.5

Manchester United67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool67.5

Manchester United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool92.5

Manchester United87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool85

Manchester United55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool17 matchesManchester United17 matches

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.06 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.24 goals/match

2.06 xG/match▲Expected goals17/171.55 xG/match

18.5 shots/match▲Shots17/1714.6 shots/match

6.06 shots/match▲Shots on target17/174.41 shots/match

60.4%●Possession17/1752.2%

6.94 corners/match●Corners17/176.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool8 matchesManchester United8 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81 goals/match

0.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/80.88 goals/match

2.54 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.15 xG/match

23.6 shots/match▲Shots8/811.5 shots/match

8.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match

66.4%●Possession8/845.9%

8.13 corners/match●Corners8/83.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls8/810.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.06 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples17 / 17home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4