Premier League · 2023

Fulham 0–2 Burnley · Premier League

Fulham

WLWWL
0–2Historical match

Burnley

LWLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Burnley won 0–2.

Shots
197
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.420.37
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Burnley beat Fulham 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Burnley): shots 19–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.42–0.37, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible home split

moderate

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsFulham 19 shots, Burnley 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsFulham 5 shots, Burnley 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.42 xG0.37 xGFulham 1.42 xG, Burnley 0.37 xG
  • Possession66%34%Fulham 66%, Burnley 34%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersFulham 8 corners, Burnley 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls17 foulsFulham 5 fouls, Burnley 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tosin Adarabioyo · Fulham · 55′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 47′ · 0.02 xG · goalAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 66′ · 0.04 xG · goalBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vinícius · Fulham · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Castagne · Fulham · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Burnley · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSander Berge · Burnley · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLyle Foster · Burnley · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Vinícius · Fulham · 72′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 78′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlex Iwobi · Fulham · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Castagne · Fulham · 86′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.47 xG. Burnley: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Wilson Odobert · Burnley · 47′Sander Berge · Burnley · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 1.47 xG · Burnley 0.38 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham18 matchesBurnley18 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181 goal/match
1.72 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.87 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots18/1810.6 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.28 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession18/1849.3%
4.94 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.78 corners/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls18/1811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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