PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Tue, 30 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceSheffield United
Shots12 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals1.15 xG/match▲0.76 xG/match
Possession54%●46%
Corners11 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Joachim Andersen · Crystal Palace · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOli McBurnie · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYasser Larouci · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 27′ · 0.03 xG · goalMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 67′ · 0.03 xG · goalJordan Ayew · Crystal Palace · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 1′ · 0.05 xG · goalEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Osula · Sheffield United · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 20′ · 0.15 xG · goalAnel Ahmedhodžić · Sheffield United · 84′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 17′ · 0.65 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.16 xG. Sheffield United: 9 shots, 5 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 17′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 27′Michael Olise · Crystal Palace · 67′Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 1′James McAtee · Sheffield United · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.16 xG · Sheffield United 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.91 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.91 shots/match9.18 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Sheffield United9.18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceSheffield UnitedBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.18 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match17.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Crystal Palace
0Draws
0Sheffield United
Sheffield United — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 2 too close

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/220.86 goals/match
1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/222.45 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/220.9 xG/match
1.5 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/221.99 xG/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/229.18 shots/match
12.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2217.1 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/213 shots/match
4.18 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/216.76 shots/match
42.9%●Possessionseason · 22/2237.2%
4.82 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/223.36 corners/match
5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/227.14 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/225%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2264%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace27.5
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace25.8
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace62.5
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace67.5
Sheffield United27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace62.5
Sheffield United77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace30
Sheffield United2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace38.1
Sheffield United21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace22 matchesSheffield United22 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored22/220.86 goals/match
1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/222.45 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals22/220.9 xG/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots22/229.18 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target22/213 shots/match
42.9%●Possession22/2237.2%
4.82 corners/match●Corners22/223.36 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.6 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace11 matchesSheffield United11 matches
1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.64 goals/match
1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.55 goals/match
1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals11/110.57 xG/match
11.9 shots/match▲Shots11/116.91 shots/match
4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/102.4 shots/match
45.5%●Possession11/1135%
5.55 corners/match●Corners11/112.82 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.25 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 31 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCrystal PalaceSheffield United
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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