Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 3–1 Burnley · Premier League

3–1Historical match

Burnley

LLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 3–1.

Shots
259
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.861.33
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Burnley 3–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Burnley): shots 25–9, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.86–1.33, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.29 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Burnley10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolBurnleyBaseline
Shots19 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible home split

strong

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.1 shots/match19 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots9 shotsLiverpool 25 shots, Burnley 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsLiverpool 10 shots, Burnley 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.86 xG1.33 xGLiverpool 2.86 xG, Burnley 1.33 xG
  • Possession71%29%Liverpool 71%, Burnley 29%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersLiverpool 9 corners, Burnley 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsLiverpool 11 fouls, Burnley 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aaron Ramsey · Burnley · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Burnley · 45′ · 0.02 xG · goalAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWataru Endo · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Burnley · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilson Odobert · Burnley · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 71′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 1′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 36′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.11 xG · goalVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 75′ · 0.17 xG · on targetWilson Odobert · Burnley · 64′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.21 xG · goalZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 10′ · 0.22 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Burnley · 67′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 38′ · 0.35 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Burnley · 64′ · 0.46 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.49 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 25 shots, 10 on target, 2.88 xG. Burnley: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 31′Luis Díaz · Liverpool · 52′Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 79′Dara O'Shea · Burnley · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.88 xG · Burnley 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Liverpool
0Draws
0Burnley
Burnley — Liverpool · Premier League0–2
Burnley — Liverpool · Premier League0–1
Liverpool — Burnley · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Burnley in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool24 matchesBurnley24 matches
2.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.04 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/242.08 goals/match
2.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.97 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots24/2410.5 shots/match
6.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.42 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession24/2445.4%
6.63 corners/match ●Corners24/245 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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