PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Burnley 0–5 Arsenal · Premier League

Burnley

LDLDL
0–5Historical match

Arsenal

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 0–5.

Shots
816
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.312.36
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Burnley 5–0. Recorded in this match (Burnley – Arsenal): shots 8–16, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.31–2.36, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4.2 goals/match2.32 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Burnley show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Burnley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBurnley · Arsenal16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyArsenalBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match8.64 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionBurnley · Arsenal● 61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBurnleyArsenalBaseline
Possession45%61%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots16 shotsBurnley 8 shots, Arsenal 16 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsBurnley 0 shots, Arsenal 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.31 xG2.36 xGBurnley 0.31 xG, Arsenal 2.36 xG
  • Possession35%65%Burnley 35%, Arsenal 65%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersBurnley 4 corners, Arsenal 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsBurnley 11 fouls, Arsenal 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wilson Odobert · Burnley · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDara O'Shea · Burnley · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Burnley · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinho · Burnley · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDara O'Shea · Burnley · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosh Brownhill · Burnley · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Burnley · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmile Smith Rowe · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · Burnley · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 47′ · 0.10 xG · goalLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEddie Nketiah · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 66′ · 0.12 xG · goalEddie Nketiah · Arsenal · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 4′ · 0.13 xG · goalKai Havertz · Arsenal · 66′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 78′ · 0.42 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 41′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.32 xG. Arsenal: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Martin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 4′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 41′Bukayo Saka · Arsenal · 47′Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 66′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 0.32 xG · Arsenal 2.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Burnley
1Draws
2Arsenal
Arsenal — Burnley · Premier League3–1
Arsenal — Burnley · Premier League0–0
Burnley — Arsenal · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burnley favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burnley25 matchesArsenal25 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 2.32 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 2.04 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 16.8 shots/match
3.28 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.84 shots/match
45%Possession25/25● 61%
4.96 corners/matchCorners25/25● 7.52 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls25/259.56 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBurnleyArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBurnley — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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