Premier League · 2023Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWWWD

2–1Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	30 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.83 xG/match▲	0.45 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	8 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	20 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 30 shots, 8 on target, 2.84 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.84 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 0.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.5 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season19.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	24.5 shots/match	19.7 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five shots average is above their season average.

23 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season19.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	23 shots/match	19.7 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Brighton & Hove Albion14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	13.9 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Liverpool

3Draws

1Brighton & Hove Albion

8 Oct 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

14 Jan 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League3–0

1 Oct 2022Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–3

12 Mar 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — Liverpool · Premier League0–2

30 Oct 2021Liverpool — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 0 · 3 too close

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.76 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.59 goals/match

2.29 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 29/291.62 xG/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 29/291.46 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2914.8 shots/match

11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2912.3 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/295.9 shots/match

3.55 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/294.45 shots/match

60.4%Possessionseason · 29/29●62%

7.07 corners/match●Cornersseason · 29/295.52 corners/match

4.24 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/294.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2914%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2983%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool77.5

Brighton & Hove Albion92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool94.2

Brighton & Hove Albion75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool87.5

Brighton & Hove Albion65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool92.5

Brighton & Hove Albion12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool82.5

Brighton & Hove Albion32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool90

Brighton & Hove Albion61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool29 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion29 matches

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.76 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match

2.29 xG/match▲Expected goals29/291.62 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots29/2914.8 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on target29/295.9 shots/match

60.4%Possession29/29●62%

7.07 corners/match●Corners29/295.52 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool15 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion15 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.53 goals/match

0.87 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/152 goals/match

2.87 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.38 xG/match

24.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1512.4 shots/match

8.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/155.07 shots/match

62.3%●Possession15/1560.3%

8.07 corners/match●Corners15/153.73 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1510 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4