PitchMath
Premier League · 2023Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
4–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNewcastle UnitedTottenham Hotspur
Shots18 shots/match▲11 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Expected goals2.88 xG/match▲0.77 xG/match
Possession27%73%●
Corners16 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Timo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmil Krafth · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 44′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 86′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 10′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 17′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 7′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 32′ · 0.48 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 30′ · 0.55 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.95 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 30′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 32′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 51′Fabian Schär · Newcastle United · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.95 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 0.76 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.03 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Newcastle United, Tottenham Hotspur.

6.9 days▲Rest daysNewcastle United · Tottenham Hotspur5.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNewcastle UnitedTottenham HotspurBaseline
Rest days6.9 days5.77 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Newcastle United
0Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League4–1
Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League6–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League1–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Newcastle United · Premier League5–1
Newcastle United — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 6 · 3 too close

2.16 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/322.03 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/32▲1.53 goals/match
1.94 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 32/321.75 xG/match
1.7 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 32/321.69 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/32▲15.3 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/32▲12.9 shots/match
5.34 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/32▲5.66 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲4.44 shots/match
51.9%Possessionseason · 32/32●62%
4.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/32●6 corners/match
5.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/326.53 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3219%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United62.5
Tottenham Hotspur92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United67.5
Tottenham Hotspur77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United44.2
Tottenham Hotspur67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United42.5
Tottenham Hotspur22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United22.5
Tottenham Hotspur42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United42.5
Tottenham Hotspur65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United46.2
Tottenham Hotspur66.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Newcastle United32 matchesTottenham Hotspur32 matches
2.16 goals/match▲Goals scored32/322.03 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲1.53 goals/match
1.94 xG/match▲Expected goals32/321.75 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots32/32▲15.3 shots/match
5.34 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲5.66 shots/match
51.9%Possession32/32●62%
4.94 corners/matchCorners32/32●6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
10.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3211 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Newcastle United17 matchesTottenham Hotspur16 matches
2.53 goals/match▲Goals scored17/161.94 goals/match
1.18 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/161.75 goals/match
2.46 xG/match▲Expected goals17/161.45 xG/match
17.2 shots/match▲Shots17/1613.2 shots/match
6.41 shots/match▲Shots on target17/164.75 shots/match
53%Possession17/16●61.9%
5.88 corners/match●Corners17/165 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
9.94 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.77 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNewcastle UnitedTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath