PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fulham 1–3 Liverpool · Premier League

Fulham

WDLLW
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 1–3.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.81
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Fulham 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Liverpool): shots 12–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.8–1, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFulham · Liverpool20.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamLiverpoolBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match20.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season20.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match20.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsFulham 12 shots, Liverpool 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFulham 5 shots, Liverpool 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1 xGFulham 0.8 xG, Liverpool 1 xG
  • Possession40%60%Fulham 40%, Liverpool 60%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersFulham 1 corner, Liverpool 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls11 foulsFulham 5 fouls, Liverpool 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonee Robinson · Fulham · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoão Palhinha · Fulham · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSaša Lukić · Fulham · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Cairney · Fulham · 89′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 32′ · 0.07 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.08 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 45′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 72′ · 0.11 xG · goalTimothy Castagne · Fulham · 45′ · 0.13 xG · goalRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 41′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 22′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.80 xG. Liverpool: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Timothy Castagne · Fulham · 45′Trent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 32′Ryan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 53′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.80 xG · Liverpool 1.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fulham
1Draws
2Liverpool
Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League4–3
Liverpool — Fulham · Premier League1–0
Fulham — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham34 matchesLiverpool33 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored34/33▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed34/33▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals34/33▲ 2.29 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots34/33▲ 20.1 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target34/33▲ 6.91 shots/match
51%Possession34/33● 61.4%
5.76 corners/matchCorners34/33● 7.39 corners/match
9.94 fouls/matchFouls34/3312 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamLiverpool
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFulham — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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