Premier League · 2023

Fulham 1–1 Crystal Palace · Premier League

Fulham

DLLWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham and Crystal Palace drew 1–1.

Shots
914
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.141.01
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham and Crystal Palace drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Crystal Palace): shots 9–14, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.14–1.01, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace.

5.94 days ▲Rest daysFulham · Crystal Palace2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamCrystal PalaceBaseline
Rest days5.94 days2.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.1% ●PossessionFulham · Crystal Palace41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamCrystal PalaceBaseline
Possession51.1%41.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shotsFulham 9 shots, Crystal Palace 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFulham 2 shots, Crystal Palace 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.01 xGFulham 1.14 xG, Crystal Palace 1.01 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fulham 54%, Crystal Palace 46%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersFulham 5 corners, Crystal Palace 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsFulham 11 fouls, Crystal Palace 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Will Hughes · Crystal Palace · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Clyne · Crystal Palace · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWill Hughes · Crystal Palace · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Crystal Palace · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarrison Reed · Fulham · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChris Richards · Crystal Palace · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIssa Diop · Fulham · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJeffrey Schlupp · Crystal Palace · 87′ · 0.08 xG · goalHarry Wilson · Fulham · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 64′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 42′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 6′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 13′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 52′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.14 xG. Crystal Palace: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 52′Jeffrey Schlupp · Crystal Palace · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 1.14 xG · Crystal Palace 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fulham
2Draws
0Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League0–0
Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–2
Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham35 matchesCrystal Palace35 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.29 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed35/351.63 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.2 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.7 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/354.2 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession35/3541.8%
5.74 corners/match ●Corners35/354.77 corners/match
9.97 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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