Premier League · 2023Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

DDLLW

5–2Full-time recap

West Ham United

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	West Ham United
Shots	18 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.36 xG/match▲	1.27 xG/match
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	4 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Crystal Palace

2Draws

1West Ham United

3 Dec 2023West Ham United — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

29 Apr 2023Crystal Palace — West Ham United · Premier League4–3

6 Nov 2022West Ham United — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–2

1 Jan 2022Crystal Palace — West Ham United · Premier League2–3

28 Aug 2021West Ham United — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 2 · 5 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/34▲1.59 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/341.85 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/34▲1.4 xG/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 33/341.88 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3411.7 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3416.7 shots/match

4.12 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/343.94 shots/match

4.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/346.21 shots/match

41.5%●Possessionseason · 33/3441.3%

4.58 corners/match●Cornersseason · 33/344.32 corners/match

5.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/345.68 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3410.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3415%

79%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3479%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace22.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace22.5

West Ham United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace64.2

West Ham United15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace52.5

West Ham United77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace82.5

West Ham United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace22.5

West Ham United17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace37.5

West Ham United25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace33 matchesWest Ham United34 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored33/34▲1.59 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/341.85 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals33/34▲1.4 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots33/3411.7 shots/match

4.12 shots/matchShots on target33/343.94 shots/match

41.5%●Possession33/3441.3%

4.58 corners/match●Corners33/344.32 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace16 matchesWest Ham United17 matches

1.63 goals/matchGoals scored16/171.65 goals/match

1.63 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/172.24 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲1.48 xG/match

12.8 shots/match▲Shots16/1711.5 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target16/173.76 shots/match

44.8%●Possession16/1740.4%

5.5 corners/match●Corners16/174.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1710.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4