Premier League · 2023Mon, 13 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Aston Villa

DWWDL

3–3Historical match

Liverpool

LWLDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Aston Villa	Liverpool
Shots	19 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	3.17 xG/match▲	1.75 xG/match
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Aston Villa's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.4 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season

weak

Aston Villa's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsAston Villa · Liverpool20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aston Villa	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Aston Villa

1Draws

4Liverpool

3 Sept 2023Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0

20 May 2023Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1

26 Dec 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

10 May 2022Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

11 Dec 2021Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Aston Villa favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

2.05 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/37▲2.27 goals/match

1.51 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.11 goals/match

1.72 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/37▲2.29 xG/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/37▲1.23 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/37▲20.4 shots/match

11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/37▲11.1 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/37▲7.11 shots/match

4.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/37▲3.95 shots/match

53.4%Possessionseason · 37/37●61.5%

6.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/37●7.49 corners/match

4.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/37▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3712.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/37▲24%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/37▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aston Villa67.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aston Villa64.2

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aston Villa74.2

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aston Villa27.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa42.5

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa77.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aston Villa58.8

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Aston Villa37 matchesLiverpool37 matches

2.05 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲2.27 goals/match

1.51 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲1.11 goals/match

1.72 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲2.29 xG/match

13.7 shots/matchShots37/37▲20.4 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲7.11 shots/match

53.4%Possession37/37●61.5%

6.14 corners/matchCorners37/37●7.49 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Aston Villa19 matchesLiverpool19 matches

2.53 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.95 goals/match

1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.26 goals/match

2.09 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.77 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots19/19▲16.4 shots/match

5.58 shots/matchShots on target19/195.37 shots/match

53.9%Possession19/19●60.3%

6 corners/matchCorners19/19●6.53 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.25 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.15 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4