Premier League · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WLDWD

2–0Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

LLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Wolverhampton
Shots	36 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	14 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	4.74 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	67%●	33%
Corners	10 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 36 shots, 14 on target, 4.90 xG. Wolverhampton: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 4.90 xG · Wolverhampton 0.49 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.32 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.8 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Wolverhampton11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Shots	20.8 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	10.9 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

25.2 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season20.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	25.2 shots/match	20.8 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Liverpool

0Draws

1Wolverhampton

16 Sept 2023Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

1 Mar 2023Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

4 Feb 2023Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League3–0

22 May 2022Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–1

4 Dec 2021Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 0 · 2 too close

2.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 38/381.32 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 38/381.71 goals/match

2.35 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 38/381.25 xG/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 38/381.81 xG/match

20.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 38/3811.3 shots/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 38/3815.2 shots/match

7.29 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 38/384.21 shots/match

3.92 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 38/385.63 shots/match

61.7%●Possessionseason · 38/3848.9%

7.55 corners/match●Cornersseason · 38/384.11 corners/match

3.95 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 38/385.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3812.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

26%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/3813%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 38/3876%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool87.5

Wolverhampton47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool92.5

Wolverhampton19.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool87.5

Wolverhampton28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool97.5

Wolverhampton2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Wolverhampton92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool97.5

Wolverhampton12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool93.8

Wolverhampton35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool38 matchesWolverhampton38 matches

2.26 goals/match▲Goals scored38/381.32 goals/match

1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed38/381.71 goals/match

2.35 xG/match▲Expected goals38/381.25 xG/match

20.8 shots/match▲Shots38/3811.3 shots/match

7.29 shots/match▲Shots on target38/384.21 shots/match

61.7%●Possession38/3848.9%

7.55 corners/match●Corners38/384.11 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool19 matchesWolverhampton19 matches

2.58 goals/match▲Goals scored19/191.26 goals/match

0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/191.84 goals/match

2.93 xG/match▲Expected goals19/191.26 xG/match

25.2 shots/match▲Shots19/1910.8 shots/match

9.21 shots/match▲Shots on target19/193.95 shots/match

63.1%●Possession19/1946.7%

8.58 corners/match●Corners19/193.05 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4