Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 1–3 Crystal Palace · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 1–3.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.572.7
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Wolverhampton 3–1. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Crystal Palace): shots 14–13, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.57–2.7, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsWolverhampton · Crystal Palace11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWolverhamptonCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsWolverhampton 14 shots, Crystal Palace 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsWolverhampton 8 shots, Crystal Palace 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG2.7 xGWolverhampton 1.57 xG, Crystal Palace 2.7 xG
  • Possession62%38%Wolverhampton 62%, Crystal Palace 38%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersWolverhampton 8 corners, Crystal Palace 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsWolverhampton 13 fouls, Crystal Palace 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 26′ · 0.02 xG · goalMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdam Wharton · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Gomes · Wolverhampton · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 80′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 80′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNaouirou Ahamada · Crystal Palace · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedChris Richards · Crystal Palace · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 49′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNathaniel Clyne · Crystal Palace · 28′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTyrick Mitchell · Crystal Palace · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 66′ · 0.19 xG · goalMichael Olise · Crystal Palace · 22′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 55′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedHwang Hee-chan · Wolverhampton · 69′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 73′ · 0.63 xG · goalJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 28′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.56 xG. Crystal Palace: 13 shots, 3 on target, 2.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Matheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 66′Michael Olise · Crystal Palace · 26′Jean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 28′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.56 xG · Crystal Palace 2.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
0Draws
4Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–2
Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–0
Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–1
Wolverhampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2
Crystal Palace — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton37 matchesCrystal Palace37 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored37/371.41 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.26 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots37/3711.9 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target37/374.32 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession37/3741.8%
4.16 corners/matchCorners37/37● 4.76 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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