Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Arsenal

1–1Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Arsenal	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	11 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.14 xG/match▲	1.76 xG/match
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	12 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Arsenal: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.17 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.17 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.87 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsArsenal · Brighton & Hove Albion15.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Arsenal	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Shots	12.7 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	14 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

50%PossessionArsenal · Brighton & Hove Albion●58%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Arsenal	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Possession	50%	58%	45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Arsenal

0Draws

2Brighton & Hove Albion

6 Apr 2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League0–3

17 Dec 2023Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0

14 May 2023Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3

31 Dec 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League2–4

9 Apr 2022Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

0.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.76 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.34 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/315.3 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match

50%Possessionseason · 3/3●58%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●5.33 corners/match

4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal75

Brighton & Hove Albion87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal76.4

Brighton & Hove Albion81.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal75

Brighton & Hove Albion80.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal45.8

Brighton & Hove Albion54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal83.3

Brighton & Hove Albion12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal45.8

Brighton & Hove Albion62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal69.8

Brighton & Hove Albion56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Arsenal3 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/30.67 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.76 xG/match

12.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲15.3 shots/match

5.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match

50%Possession3/3●58%

4 corners/matchCorners3/3●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Arsenal2 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4