PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Arsenal 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1.

Shots
1122
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.141.76
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 11–22, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.14–1.76, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Brighton & Hove Albion15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

50%PossessionArsenal · Brighton & Hove Albion● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession50%58%45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots22 shotsArsenal 11 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 22 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsArsenal 7 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.76 xGArsenal 2.14 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.76 xG
  • Possession36%64%Arsenal 36%, Brighton & Hove Albion 64%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersArsenal 3 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsArsenal 12 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen White · Arsenal · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGeorginio Rutter · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 8′ · 0.12 xG · on targetGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 60′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 18′ · 0.17 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 75′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKai Havertz · Arsenal · 75′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.27 xG · goalYasin Ayari · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.31 xG · on targetYankuba Minteh · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.36 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 38′ · 0.55 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 77′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.17 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 4 on target, 1.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kai Havertz · Arsenal · 38′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.17 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Arsenal
0Draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League0–3
Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0
Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Arsenal · Premier League2–4
Arsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal3 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.76 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 15.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match
50%Possession3/3● 58%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.33 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headArsenal — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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