Premier League · 2024Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester City
Shots10 shots/match23 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals0.73 xG/match3 xG/match
Possession32%68%
Corners3 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match3 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/matchShotsWest Ham United · Manchester City16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Shots14 shots/match16 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionWest Ham United · Manchester City65%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Possession42%65%45.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0West Ham United
1Draws
4Manchester City
Manchester CityWest Ham United · Premier League31
West Ham UnitedManchester City · Premier League13
Manchester CityWest Ham United · Premier League30
West Ham UnitedManchester City · Premier League02
West Ham UnitedManchester City · Premier League22

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester City in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.37 xG/match
2.13 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.68 xG/match
14 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316 shots/match
17.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/37 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/36 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32 shots/match
42%Possessionseason · 3/365%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/38 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/35.33 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United25
Manchester City89.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United44
Manchester City91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United30.9
Manchester City91.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United89.3
Manchester City32.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United82.1
Manchester City3.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United32.1
Manchester City92.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United47.3
Manchester City68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United3 matchesManchester City3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.37 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots3/316 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/36 shots/match
42%Possession3/365%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/38 corners/match
Cards0/0
15 fouls/matchFouls3/35.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United2 matchesManchester City2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Aug 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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