PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City and Arsenal drew 2–2.

Shots
335
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
2.180.67
Possession
77%23%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City and Arsenal drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Arsenal): shots 33–5, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 2.18–0.67, possession 77%–23%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Arsenal10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityArsenalBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match10 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against6.8 shots/match18 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arsenal have a visible away split

weak

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.2% ●PossessionManchester City · Arsenal41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityArsenalBaseline
Possession65.2%41.8%47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots33 shots5 shotsManchester City 33 shots, Arsenal 5 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsManchester City 11 shots, Arsenal 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG0.67 xGManchester City 2.18 xG, Arsenal 0.67 xG
  • Possession77%23%Manchester City 77%, Arsenal 23%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersManchester City 8 corners, Arsenal 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsManchester City 7 fouls, Arsenal 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Savinho · Manchester City · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.02 xG · goalKyle Walker · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker · Manchester City · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRúben Dias · Manchester City · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker · Manchester City · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 48′ · 0.10 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.10 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 89′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJohn Stones · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.17 xG · goalİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 38′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 45′ · 0.33 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 9′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 33 shots, 11 on target, 2.17 xG. Arsenal: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 9′John Stones · Manchester City · 90′Riccardo Calafiori · Arsenal · 22′Gabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.17 xG · Arsenal 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
1Draws
1Arsenal
Manchester City — Arsenal · Premier League0–0
Arsenal — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Arsenal · Premier League4–1
Arsenal — Manchester City · Premier League1–3
Arsenal — Manchester City · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City5 matchesArsenal5 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
2.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.13 xG/match
19.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/510 shots/match
7.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
65.2% ●Possession5/541.8%
8.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match
6.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester City — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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