PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Newcastle United 1–1 Manchester City · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United and Manchester City drew 1–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.570.91
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United and Manchester City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Manchester City): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.57–0.91, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Manchester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNewcastle United · Manchester City19.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match19.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match7.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

weak

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5%PossessionNewcastle United · Manchester City● 64.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedManchester CityBaseline
Possession44.5%64.7%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsNewcastle United 11 shots, Manchester City 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsNewcastle United 4 shots, Manchester City 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG0.91 xGNewcastle United 1.57 xG, Manchester City 0.91 xG
  • Possession38%62%Newcastle United 38%, Manchester City 62%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersNewcastle United 5 corners, Manchester City 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsNewcastle United 14 fouls, Manchester City 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jack Grealish · Manchester City · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKieran Trippier · Newcastle United · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 7′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoelinton · Newcastle United · 16′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.08 xG · goalFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 51′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 80′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG. Manchester City: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 58′Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.59 xG · Manchester City 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newcastle United
1Draws
4Manchester City
Newcastle United — Manchester City · Premier League2–3
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Newcastle United — Manchester City · Premier League3–3
Manchester City — Newcastle United · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United6 matchesManchester City6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.06 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 19.2 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 7 shots/match
44.5%Possession6/6● 64.7%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 8.33 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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