Premier League · 2024Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Crystal Palace

LLLWD

0–2Full-time recap

Fulham

WLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Crystal Palace	Fulham
Shots	13 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.52 xG/match	1.83 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	1 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Crystal Palace: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.58 xG. Fulham: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.58 xG · Fulham 1.81 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Fulham have a visible away split

moderate

Fulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.5 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Crystal Palace's recent record differs from the season

weak

Crystal Palace's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.73 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Crystal Palace

3Draws

1Fulham

27 Apr 2024Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

23 Sept 2023Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League0–0

20 May 2023Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League2–2

26 Dec 2022Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 10 · 3 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.18 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/11▲1.56 xG/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.16 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲15.6 shots/match

13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲12.3 shots/match

4.91 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲5.45 shots/match

4.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.18 shots/match

45.8%Possessionseason · 11/11●53.5%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/11●5.91 corners/match

5.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1118%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace32.5

Fulham67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace42.5

Fulham75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace45.8

Fulham69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace87.5

Fulham67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace12.5

Fulham32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace32.5

Fulham62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace41.2

Fulham66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace11 matchesFulham11 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.45 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲1.18 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.56 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots11/11▲15.6 shots/match

4.91 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5.45 shots/match

45.8%Possession11/11●53.5%

5 corners/matchCorners11/11●5.91 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace6 matchesFulham6 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.17 goals/match

1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1 goals/match

1.31 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.4 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots6/612.5 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match

43.3%Possession6/6●53.5%

4 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10 fouls/matchFouls6/611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4