Premier League · 2024Thu, 26 Dec 2024, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

LLLLW

2–0Full-time recap

Manchester United

WLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	Manchester United
Shots	7 shots/match	11 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.86 xG/match▲	0.44 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Wolverhampton: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.83 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 0.83 xG · Manchester United 0.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Wolverhampton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wolverhampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsWolverhampton · Manchester United13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Wolverhampton	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	14.1 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Wolverhampton

0Draws

4Manchester United

1 Feb 2024Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League3–4

14 Aug 2023Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0

13 May 2023Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

31 Dec 2022Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

3 Jan 2022Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 9 · 2 too close

1.61 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/181.17 goals/match

2.22 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.33 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.45 xG/match

1.6 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.43 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲13.4 shots/match

14.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/18▲10.8 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/18▲4.94 shots/match

5.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/18▲3.94 shots/match

46.8%Possessionseason · 18/18●53.9%

3.11 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●5 corners/match

7.39 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/18▲4.61 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1811.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/18▲33%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1861%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton32.5

Manchester United72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton35

Manchester United44.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton18.3

Manchester United75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton17.5

Manchester United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton97.5

Manchester United30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton2.5

Manchester United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton35.6

Manchester United45.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton18 matchesManchester United18 matches

1.61 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.17 goals/match

2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.33 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.45 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots18/18▲13.4 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲4.94 shots/match

46.8%Possession18/18●53.9%

3.11 corners/matchCorners18/18●5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton9 matchesManchester United9 matches

1.56 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

2.22 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1.11 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.36 xG/match

9.67 shots/matchShots9/9▲12.3 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.67 shots/match

45.2%Possession9/9●53.9%

3.33 corners/matchCorners9/9●4.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 26 Dec 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4