Premier League · 2024

Liverpool 3–1 Leicester City · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 3–1.

Shots
194
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.910.34
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Leicester City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Leicester City): shots 19–4, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.91–0.34, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.35 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Leicester City8.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolLeicester CityBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match8.83 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.82 shots/match18.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.3% ●PossessionLiverpool · Leicester City45.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolLeicester CityBaseline
Possession57.3%45.6%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots4 shotsLiverpool 19 shots, Leicester City 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotLiverpool 7 shots, Leicester City 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.91 xG0.34 xGLiverpool 1.91 xG, Leicester City 0.34 xG
  • Possession69%31%Liverpool 69%, Leicester City 31%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerLiverpool 14 corners, Leicester City 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls5 foulsLiverpool 17 fouls, Leicester City 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Justin · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames Justin · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalBilal El Khannouss · Leicester City · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 82′ · 0.05 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 12′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 6′ · 0.23 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 4′ · 0.35 xG · on targetCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 49′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.99 xG. Leicester City: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 45′Curtis Jones · Liverpool · 49′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 82′Jordan Ayew · Leicester City · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 1.99 xG · Leicester City 0.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Liverpool
0Draws
1Leicester City
Leicester City — Liverpool · Premier League0–3
Liverpool — Leicester City · Premier League2–1
Liverpool — Leicester City · Premier League2–0
Leicester City — Liverpool · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Leicester City in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool17 matchesLeicester City18 matches
2.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/181.22 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed17/182.22 goals/match
2.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/180.99 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/188.83 shots/match
6.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/183.17 shots/match
57.3% ●Possession17/1845.6%
6.53 corners/match ●Corners17/183.39 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1811.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Dec 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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