Premier League · 2024Fri, 27 Dec 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

DLDLD

0–0Full-time recap

Brentford

WLWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Brentford
Shots	24 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.31 xG/match▲	1.07 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	6 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 24 shots, 7 on target, 1.32 xG. Brentford: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.32 xG · Brentford 1.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brentford have a visible away split

moderate

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.78 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.78 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Brentford10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Brighton & Hove Albion	Brentford	Baseline
Shots	14.9 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	18.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Brighton & Hove Albion

2Draws

1Brentford

3 Apr 2024Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–0

6 Dec 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League2–1

1 Apr 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League3–3

14 Oct 2022Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–0

26 Dec 2021Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 2 · 3 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/18▲1.78 goals/match

1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 18/181.78 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.53 xG/match

1.55 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 18/181.68 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1810.5 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 18/1818.5 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/184.78 shots/match

4.28 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 18/186.61 shots/match

53.9%●Possessionseason · 18/1847.7%

5.28 corners/match●Cornersseason · 18/184.61 corners/match

5.11 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 18/187.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/188.28 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1811%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1878%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brighton & Hove Albion72.5

Brentford42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brighton & Hove Albion64.2

Brentford49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brighton & Hove Albion60

Brentford9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brighton & Hove Albion57.5

Brentford12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion57.5

Brentford7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brighton & Hove Albion50

Brentford30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brighton & Hove Albion61.2

Brentford26.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion18 matchesBrentford18 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.78 goals/match

1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.78 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.53 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots18/1810.5 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target18/184.78 shots/match

53.9%●Possession18/1847.7%

5.28 corners/match●Corners18/184.61 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/188.28 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brighton & Hove Albion9 matchesBrentford9 matches

1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match

1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals9/90.95 xG/match

16.9 shots/match▲Shots9/97.78 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93 shots/match

54.9%●Possession9/943.3%

6.11 corners/match●Corners9/93.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/98.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.19 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Dec 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4