Premier League · 2024Sun, 29 Dec 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Fulham

WDDDW

2–2Full-time recap

Bournemouth

WWDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Bournemouth
Shots	11 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.11 xG/match	1.98 xG/match▲
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fulham: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.14 xG. Bournemouth: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 1.14 xG · Bournemouth 2.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Bournemouth. A second useful context is: Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Bournemouth.

3 days▲Rest daysFulham · Bournemouth3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Fulham	Bournemouth	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Fulham

2Draws

2Bournemouth

10 Feb 2024Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1

26 Dec 2023Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–0

1 Apr 2023Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League2–1

15 Oct 2022Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2

23 Apr 2022Bournemouth — Fulham · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 5 · 5 too close

1.47 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 19/191.53 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/19▲1.21 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/19▲2 xG/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/191.28 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲16.5 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1913.2 shots/match

4.95 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲5.58 shots/match

4.37 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 19/195.11 shots/match

51.3%●Possessionseason · 19/1945.4%

5.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/19●6.47 corners/match

5.05 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 19/195.16 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1913.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲21%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1979%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham57.5

Bournemouth22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham52.5

Bournemouth75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham64.2

Bournemouth45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham47.5

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham17.5

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham52.5

Bournemouth77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham45

Bournemouth86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham19 matchesBournemouth19 matches

1.47 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.53 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1.21 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲2 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots19/19▲16.5 shots/match

4.95 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.58 shots/match

51.3%●Possession19/1945.4%

5.26 corners/matchCorners19/19●6.47 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham10 matchesBournemouth10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.99 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.3 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.3 shots/match

51.3%●Possession10/1047.3%

5.2 corners/matchCorners10/10●6.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4