Premier League · 2024

Crystal Palace 2–1 Southampton · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 2–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.030.94
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Southampton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Crystal Palace – Southampton): shots 19–7, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.03–0.94, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Crystal Palace, Southampton.

3 days ▲Rest daysCrystal Palace · Southampton3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCrystal PalaceSouthamptonBaseline
Rest days3 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Southampton9.42 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceSouthamptonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match9.42 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsCrystal Palace 19 shots, Southampton 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsCrystal Palace 10 shots, Southampton 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG0.94 xGCrystal Palace 2.03 xG, Southampton 0.94 xG
  • Possession46%54%Crystal Palace 46%, Southampton 54%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersCrystal Palace 8 corners, Southampton 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsCrystal Palace 18 fouls, Southampton 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ismaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaylor Harwood-Bellis · Southampton · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Southampton · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Bree · Southampton · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 52′ · 0.04 xG · goalDaichi Kamada · Crystal Palace · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 1′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTyler Dibling · Southampton · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 36′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 10′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdam Armstrong · Southampton · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 64′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJean-Philippe Mateta · Crystal Palace · 30′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 35′ · 0.21 xG · on targetTrevoh Chalobah · Crystal Palace · 31′ · 0.25 xG · goalDaniel Muñoz · Crystal Palace · 37′ · 0.43 xG · on targetTyler Dibling · Southampton · 15′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.03 xG. Southampton: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Trevoh Chalobah · Crystal Palace · 31′Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 52′Tyler Dibling · Southampton · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 2.03 xG · Southampton 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Crystal Palace
1Draws
0Southampton
Southampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2
Crystal Palace — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Southampton — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–2
Crystal Palace — Southampton · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace19 matchesSouthampton19 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.63 goals/match
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/192.05 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.04 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/199.42 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193 shots/match
43.8%Possession19/19● 52.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners19/194.47 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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